Against The Spread Pick
One season after making the NCAA tournament, the Mississippi State Bulldogs look like they have taken a few steps back under Ben Howland. Mississippi State enters this game with a record of 11-6, which includes a 2-3 conference record. However, the Bulldogs are coming off a blowout win over the Georgia Bulldogs on Saturday by a score of 91-59 and have won two games in a row. They will look to extend their winning streak to three games when they host the Arkansas Razorbacks on Wednesday. Meanwhile, the Razorbacks are in 4th place in the SEC with a record of 14-3 and a conference record of 3-2. The Razorbacks are coming off a narrow 66-73 defeat against the Kentucky Wildcats at home on Saturday, which ended their two-game winning streak. The Bulldogs are 7-3 against the spread in the previous ten meetings between these teams. I look for that trend to continue with a Mississippi State win at home and a 3.5-point cover.
Over Under Pick
Both teams are right around the national average in terms of points per game. Arkansas enters this game averaging 74.12 points per game while Mississippi State is averaging 73.12. Defensively, the Razorbacks are allowing the 36th fewest points per game with 62.12. Meanwhile, the Bulldogs have also been above-average defensively, limiting opponents to 64.65 points per game. As a result of the defensive strength of both teams, I look for the under 136 points to be the winning play.