SMU +8 Point Spread

Over 142 Game Totals

Against the Spread Pick

Wednesday night AAC action will see the SMU Mustangs take on the Houston Cougars. Both teams recently suffered their first conference loss. The Mustangs lost to East Carolina and Houston lost to Tulsa. They are both now 2-1 in the conference and will need a win here to keep pace with Wichita State. Houston is not as good at home as most would think, posting a record of 6-2 thus far. The Cougars have won four in a row straight up against the Mustangs, however this is a much improved SMU squad. I actually lean with the road team because these teams are very evenly matched and I expect the high scoring offense from SMU to keep this one close.

Over Under Pick

The total in this game is 142 and given how both score the basketball, the over is where I would be looking. The Mustangs had six games go over the total in a row before the loss to East Carolina that went under. SMU averages 77.7 points per game and 81.6 over their last five. Houston is very similar when it comes to scoring. They have been trending to the over this season, with 9 of their 16 games cashing over tickets. Their last game also went under in the loss to Tulsa, but before that, they had three games in a row go over. Some trends to consider show that the over is 8-1 in SMU’s last 9 games as a road underdog. The over is also 10-3 in SMU’s last 13 road games. I look for a ton of points to be scored in this game and the over is my play as a lean.