Against The Spread Pick
Villanova is starting to hit their stride, coming into this game having won three games in a row. They are now 9-4 in the Big East, yet they are projected to be a 4 seed in the NCAA Tournament according to ESPN’s Joe Lunardi. As for Xavier, they are playing some great basketball as well, winning four of their last five. That being said, the Musketeers are only 6-7 in conference play, so a win against a team like Villanova would do wonders for their resume. As it stands, Xavier is projected to be a 9 seed in the big dance, but that could quickly change for better or for worse. One problem for Xavier is they do not do well against the spread at home. They are just 4-9-1 in 14 home games, while the Wildcats are 6-5-2 ATS in 13 games away from home. Villanova is 12-3 ATS in the last 15 meetings and I look for Villanova to dominate the Musketeers.
Over Under Pick
This is not a total I like at all because we could see some inconsistencies in these teams scoring. Villanova dropped 91 points on DePaul the other night, yet only average about 71 points per game on the road. Their defense allowed 71 to the same DePaul team but allow just an average of 66.3 points on the road. Same goes with Xavier as they could score in the high 70’s or in the low 60’s. The under is 12-4 in Villanova’s last 16 overall. Also, the under is 6-2 in Villanova’s last 8 road games. That said, I look for the defense to come to play and will lean to the under here.