Hull’s Luke Campbell happens on one of the world’s pound-for-pound best fighters in London this weekend at the O2 Arena in Vasyl Lomachenko and the boxing Twittersphere was up in arms about this one from the moment it has been declared. Criticism was levelled at Campbell criticism was levelled at Campbell’s promoter Eddie Hearn for wilfully feeding his bill to the monster. But, all these naysayers appear to forget a thing — Campbell is a boxer in his own right, a Olympic gold medallist and is a tall specimen at lightweight.
Obviously Campbell is a huge underdog against the Allied sense, with chances as long as 19/2 and 9/1 available with some bookies (the best available price for Lomachenko a meagre 1/14) however this is what real fans of the game should get excited about — world-class boxing.
I, for one, find Campbell’s price at 9/1 tempting, he has not really hit the heights he had been anticipated to after winning gold at the London Olympics, but he is one of Britain’s most talented fighters using a boxing mind. He also holds some notable bodily advantages over Lomachenko, he taller and has an extended reach. Whereas Campbell gets the framework of a welterweight, lomachenko has come all the way up from featherweight.
With all that said, the lengthy price on Campbell boils down to the reality Lomachenko is a once in a production talent, and whilst 9/1 on a fighter of Campbell caliber is tempting, it is tough to see beyond a Lomachenko success, regardless of the grade of the Allied’s competition.
The bookies imply the single most probable result is Lomachenko to triumph through stoppage (4/9) but Campbell feels just like a new conundrum for Lomachenko that will be awkward and challenging than that which he is confronted before. A big, hard-hitting and technically adept southpaw like Luke Campbell is just one I would select, although there are few boxers you would fancy to take Lomachenko the distance. Furthermore was on the canvas against Linares and looked his best off over Pedraza. Whilst may not function as Lomachenko weight. Keeping that in mindthe 13/5 available on a Lomachenko decision win seems greater worth than the stoppage price.
But for the exact identical price you may back the struggle to go the distance (possibly fighter to win) using BetVictor (5/2). Whilst both fighters may hurt each other there is a real chance this could turn into a more cagy, a points victory either way along with tactical chess match could be on the cards. Lomachenko break down his enemies and likes to box on the exterior; this may be harder against a boxer with caliber and Campbell’s stature. With 5/2 available on the struggle to go the same price widely provided by bookies around Lomachenko to win a decision and the distance, it makes no sense if you believe Campbell has a sniff in this struggle, to rear Lomachenko. Take the 5/2 on the struggle.
What the market does tell usin pricing a Lomachenko decision and also the space fight virtually the same, is it’s convinced Campbell should not triumph on the 12 rounds. It is likely that Campbell’s tactics are going to be to hurt Lomachenko rather than outbox him with movement and speed, although whether that is right is up for debate. He will be looking to walk Lomachenko onto shots that are strong, using his natural height and timing and reach gains. Lomachenko is hittable and can be lost, as occurred when battling Jorge Linares.? It is worth a little punt on Lomachenko to be knocked down at 5/1, a bet which could very possibly pay out if the fight goes the distance but would also cover you in the event of the guy from Hull causing the biggest upset because Andy Ruiz Jr stopped Anthony Joshua.