Puck Line Pick
A big game here for two potential playoff teams to hold serve as the Toronto Maple Leafs take on the Vancouver Canucks. The Canucks put on a pitiful performance in their last game as they were upset by Ottawa 5-2. Toronto went down early against Florida, but made a huge comeback to win 5-3. The Maple Leafs have now won two games in a row and have seen their offense start to roll. The home team is 13-3 in the last 16 meetings and the favorite is 15-6 in the last 21 meetings. Vancouver are well below average when playing on the road, so I look for Toronto to win this game easily on the puck line.
Over Under Pick
Recently Toronto have been straight over plays and it will not change in this game. The Maple Leafs are averaging 3.6 goals over their last 5 games. The bad news is they are allowing an average of 3.4 goals over the same stretch. Vancouver are scoring just as much, averaging 3.8 over their last 4 games, including a 9 goal game at Boston. Defense is almost as bad, allowing 3.8 over this stretch as well. This only points to an over and that is what I will be looking to play. This is a stronger play than the side, and I will call it a strong lean.