VA Commenwealth



Massachusetts +5.5 Point Spread

Under 138 Game Totals

Against The Spread Pick

VCU may have a good overall record, but they are starting to slip and could miss out on a chance to receive an at-large bid. They are coming off a loss to St. Louis by 18 points and have now lost four games in a row. As of right now, the Rams are not being considered for a tournament spot, and desperately need a win against this below average Minutemen team. That being said, UMass are cashing tickets as of late. Winning their last two games in a row and covering four of the last five shows that the Minutemen are playing competitive basketball. This is especially true at home where the Minutemen are 11-2-1 ATS. On the flip side, VCU is a poor away team, going 3-8 ATS in games not in their building. This is definitely not a strong play, but I look for UMass to keep it close.

Over Under Pick

I really do not like the total in this game either because of VCU’s struggles on the road. The Rams have an elite defense at home, but on the road, they are allowing 72.3 points per game. They also score less than 70 points per game in their road games. The under is 9-1 in UMass’ last 10 games and if I was going to play it, that is where I would lean.