Against The Spread Pick
The Utes and the Cardinal meet on Wednesday as Utah looks to find a Pac-12 win somewhere over its last two road games to avoid going winless in such games this season. The Utes are an average-looking 14-13-0 ATS this season while the Cardinal are a much better 17-10-0 in that metric. Stanford is a better shooting team that Utah – 47 percent from the field compared to 45 percent – with the Cardinal ranking at 22nd in the nation in shooting percentage. Their shot volume isn’t high, but Stanford makes a good number of the shots that are actually taken. The big difference here is on defense. The Cardinal rank 12th in the country as they give up just 61.6 ppg and Utah allows 69.7 ppg which is good for 185th in the country. When you take that big defense into account – and you add in the road woes that Utah has faced over the last couple of months – then the pick has to be Stanford to win minus the points in this clash.
Over Under Pick
These are a pair of middle of the road teams in terms of scoring. Utah averages 70.9 ppg and Stanford is marginally worse at 70.3 ppg. Those numbers rank 185th and 20th in the country respectively. These are not particularly fast playing teams. Utah ranks 242nd in the country in possessions per game and Stanford is 203rd in that same category. This means that the score will be kept lower just by the sheer volume of offensive attacks. They also aren’t big teams in terms of taking shots from three-point range – Stanford is 207th in the nation in three-point attempts by taking threes on just 36 percent of their possessions – so the three-ball is unlikely to save the over here. The under has to be the pick, especially when you consider that Utah is 12-15-0 toward the over/under this season and Stanford is an even more pedestrian 10-16-1.