Against The Spread Pick
Defense wins championships. That is the reason I like the Blazers in this one. UAB’s defensive has been one the best in the nation this year and that defense should bounce back from a bad showing it had against Marshall. The Blazers got outside of their comfort zone and ended up in a shootout in that game. This game means too much and UAB won’t let themselves deviant from the game-plan. UAB has allowed just 66.5 points per game on the road and 68.6 points per game in conference play while UTSA has allowed 70.4 points per game at home and 77.9 points per game in conference play. UTSA has the edge on offense but it will run into a really good defense of UAB that makes more plays. Take the Blazers to cover.
Over Under Pick
I think the Blazers are going to win because of their defense. I still like the over in this one as I see the Blazers giving up just enough to push the total over. They have allowed just 66.5 points per game on the road but 68.6 points per game in conference play and 70.4 points per game in their last five games overall. They go against a UTSA offense that has averaged 78.7 points per game in conference play and 83.5 points per game at home. The Blazers are not a great offensive team but they will be facing a bad UTSA defense that has allowed 79.9 points per game in conference play and 78.4 points per game in their last five games overall. The Over is 9-1 in UTSA’s last 10 games following a straight-up loss. A lean to the over is the play.