Against The Spread Pick
Not only is this an in-state rivalry, but it is a huge game in terms of a resume builder. Texas got a massive win over West Virginia this past week to keep them in the conversation. It is also equally important for Texas Tech because they just got blown out by Oklahoma. As it stands, Texas Tech is an 8-seed in the tournament and Texas is one of the “Next Four Out,” according to ESPN’s Joe Lunardi. Texas is a decent 6-6 ATS away from home as well, while the Red Raiders are 7-8 ATS at home. Texas Tech won by five in the first meeting and now are laying double-digits at home. That is something I do not want to do so give me the Longhorns to cover the spread.
Over Under Pick
I like the total less in this game, however the Red Raiders still have an elite defense. They allow just 59.3 points per game at home and are allowing 59.8 over their last five games. Even in a 14-point loss to Oklahoma, the Red Raiders allowed just 65 points. Their offense however can be very inconsistent, scoring only 51 points in their last game, but averaging around 76 at home. Texas also has a rock solid defense, allowing 61 points per game over the same five-game stretch. That being said, I look for them to lock down their rivals even with the change in venue. The under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings and that would be my lean in this game as well.