Against the Spread Pick
It is a two-horse race in the Big 12, with Kansas leading the way at 14-1 and the Baylor Bears right behind at 14-2. You have to go all the way dow to a modest 9-7 in conference to find the third-place team, the Texas Tech Red Raiders. Baylor is still in the mis for a No. 1 seed in the NCAA Tournament despite two recent losses because its 25-3 overall record is outstanding. The Bears feature five different guys averaging at least one steal per contest. That is bad news for the Red Raiders, who are turning the ball over 13.7 times per game. They lost to Baylor at home via a 57-50 decision back in January. Texas Tech is 1-4 ATS in its last five overall and 6-19-1 ATS in its last 26 following a loss. The Bears are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 overall and 16-5 ATS in their last 21 against opponents with winning records. It is also worth noting that the home team is 5-1 ATS in the last six head-to-head matchups. BAYLOR will likely take care of business.
Over Under Pick
A total of only 109 points were scored in the previous head-to-head matchup this season. Texas Tech is too careless with the ball to find much offensive success against a long, athletic Baylor defense. The under is 5-2-1 in the Red Raiders’ last eight at home against opponents with home winning percentages over .600. It is also 9-3 in their last 12 at home and 11-1 in their last 12 against opponents with winning percentages over .600. Look for this one to stay UNDER the total.