Against The Spread Pick
SMU looks to make a final push towards the NCAA tournament when they travel to take on a below average UCF team on Wednesday night. The Mustangs are sitting in 6th place in the American, but could move to as high as fourth depending on the rest of the conferences results this week. The Knights on the other hand, are only 5-11 in conference play, and still could finish last if they do not win one of their final two games. UCF have been horrible at home in terms of the spread, covering in 3 of their 14 home games and just 1 of their last 8. SMU beat the Knights on their home floor earlier this season by 7 and I look for them to win this game as well. This looks like it will be a pickem’, and because of that, I will take the Mustangs to win without any issues.
Over Under Pick
Not a total I like here as these teams can be wildly inconsistent. The Mustangs are averaging 73 points per game this season, but over their last five, they are scoring just 64. UCF have been more consistent offensively, as they average 68 points per game. On the defensive side, the Knights have allowed 76 points on average over their last five. SMU is also allowing about 70 points per game game recently, so I look for the offenses to have plenty of success here. The over is 3-0 in the last 3 meetings, and 6-2 in SMU’s last 8 overall. Again, not a total I want to play, but it would be a lean to the over based on the recent trends.