Against The Spread Pick
The Memphis Tigers are in the top 25 rankings, but that might change once again as they could be in for a second-straight loss as the SMU Mustangs pay a visit to FedEx Forum. The Tigers are coming off an ugly performance against Tulsa, where the Golden Hurricanes held the Tigers to just 40 points. SMU has won two straight games and remains in the thick of the AAC race. The Mustangs are 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 games. Memphis has struggled to cover in their last six games, covering the spread just twice in that span. SMU is both 7-3 head-to-head and against the spread in the last 10 meetings between these teams. Memphis was able to win both meetings last season, yet SMU has hung around in every meeting between these teams. The Tigers might get the win ultimately at home, but taking SMU to cover +5.5 points is the right play.
Over Under Pick
SMU has rattled off decent numbers this season offensively, but it hasn’t quite been to the level of previous seasons. Memphis is coming off one of their worst performances of the season, as they gave up 80 points to Tulsa, while only scoring 40 themselves. The Tigers will need a whole lot more production to even try to escape against SMU. Memphis has scored over 70 points in their last two head-to-head meetings with SMU. After seeing the Tigers struggle against Tulsa, avoiding the over 141.5 total is a must.