San Diego State


San Diego State -13 Point Spread

Under 137 Game Totals

Against the Spread Pick

The Aztecs are the lone unbeaten team in the country and look to keep it that way as they welcome Nevada on Saturday night. The Wolfpack are not having a good season at all, just 1-4 in the Mountain West. If they somehow pull off this upset on the road, it would be huge for their resume. They still have plenty of work to do if they want to make the tournament, but beating a top 10 team would be a great start. The Wolfpack are however, 3-7 against the spread in their last 10 road games. Also, the home team is 11-2 ATS in the last 13 meetings. The Aztecs have been dominant at home this season and there is no way I can trust Nevada to keep it close. This is probably more of a stay away game, but my lean is with San Diego State.

Over Under Pick

The total in this game is 137 after opening at 135, clearly showing money is coming in on the over. However, with they way the Aztecs have been playing defense, I would actually look to the under. San Diego State allows just 55.9 points per game at home. They also allow just 58.4 in their five Mountain West games. Nevada’s defense has improved slightly since conference play started and they are giving up 68.8. The under is 13-5-1 in the Aztecs’ last 19 against the Mountain West and that is my lean for this game.