Against The Spread Pick
The Spartans are in the middle of a losing streak that currently stands at seven. While they can score the basketball – they average 70.6 ppg – they have way too many defensive issues and they allow 80.6 ppg on the year. They also allow an astonishing 47.2% from the field to their opponents. Utah State have won nine of 11 and they average 76.5 ppg on 45.5% from the field. They allow just 63.8 ppg, suggesting it could be a long day for the Spartans on the road here. The Spartans are 13-14 on the season ATS and they have been shockingly bad on the road all year long. Utah State wins at home by an average of 24.6 points, something that means they might actually be able to hit the monster line that is being presented here. I would have to go with the Aggies just based on the fact that when the Spartans hit the road they don’t look like a team that has any idea how to make baskets or run an offense.
Over Under Pick
This is all going to be about how many points the Aggies can reasonably be expected to score against a terrible opponent at home. The line means that Utah State will have to score something upwards of 85+ to carry this to the over, with a score of 90+ potentially being needed if the Spartans play their worst basketball on the day. Sam Merrill scored 18.9 ppg for the Aggies and he will have to have his outside jump shot on point to get close this total. Seneca Knight scores 17.0 ppg for the Spartans, but he doesn’t have a lot behind him and he suffers from turnover problems as he gives up the ball 2.7 times per game. While the Aggies will give this a good go in their win, I feel like the two teams will end up a little short of the total being offered as that Utah State defense just isn’t going to allow the Spartans to put up the points on their end of the bargain.