Against The Spread Pick
St Mary’s sits at an impressive 24-6, but that is not as impressive as the number three ranked Gonzaga, who is 28-2 this season. Gonzaga is 16-13 ATS this season, and are undefeated at home. The two teams played earlier this season, Gonzaga winning in a blowout 90-60. I would expect more of the same in this game, especially since Gonzaga is trying to get back to the number two spot that they held all season before the tournament. Take Gonzaga tonight.
Over Under Pick
Over the last five games, Gonzaga and St Mary’s are averaging 84 and 71 points respectively. If we go based on the averages, the over is the right pick. And I think that is a good way to go. In such a high leverage game for both teams in terms of tournament standings, I would expect these two high powered offenses to be on the attack right from the jump. Based on the trends of the last five games, combined with the importance of the match, expect the offense to be high and for the total to be OVER.