Butler -7.5 Point Spread

Over 129.5 Game Totals

Against the Spread Pick

The Friars already have 10 losses and there are not a lot of teams who can earn at large bids with that total. I can see this team running the table in the Big East Tourney but its a long shot for this unpredictable group. Alpha Diallo might be on an NBA roster next season but in his last game, he was held scoreless against Villanova.  He and David Duke can be as good a duo as there is in the league. A couple of losses might have knocked them down a peg but the Bulldogs have won their last couple of games to get back on good footing. I love a team that is not relying on a freshman at this time of the year.  Kamar Baldwin is underrated and this is one of the best defensive teams in America, less than 60ppg allowed. I do not want to bet against them at home against a team that is pretty desperate. You have to play with confidence against Butler to beat them.

Over Under Pick

This one has all the makings of a grinder.  It is easy to factor in how good Butler is defensively and I think Providence will be very focused on maximizing every possession. I am not seeing either team really running away from the other but free-throw shooting late might just tip this one over. I am going to lean that way but I am not recommending a big play on this one.