Pittsburgh Penguins

Tampa Bay Lightning

PICKS


TBL Lightning Point Spread
-170



Over 6.5 Game Totals
-125

Money Line Pick

One of the best games on the Thursday NHL card will see tho legit contenders go head to head. Both teams are equally as hot, with the Penguins winning eight of their last ten and the Lightning winning four in a row. Both teams are also tied with 71 points on the season, so this could be an important game in terms of playoff seeding. Trends would show that the home team is 8-1 in the last 9 meetings and the favorite is 40-17 in the last 57 meetings. The Lightning are an extremely good home team, posting a record of 16-7-2. Pittsburgh is almost equally as good when on the road, with a record of 14-9-2. I do like Tampa Bay more in this spot, but will only take them as a lean.

Over Under Pick

I actually like the total more because of the explosive offenses. Both sides average 3.3 goals or more per game. Pittsburgh is averaging 3.2 goals away from home, while Tampa Bay scores 4.08. The over is 17-6 in Lightning home games this year as well, so offense has not been any issue. Usually the Lightning have been able to shut teams down, but the Penguins are too good offensively for me to think they will not at least score 2 or 3. That said, I like for the over to be the play as a strong lean.