Against The Spread Pick
Yale currently sits atop the Ivy League Conference with an uncomfortable one game lead. The Bulldogs have been a pleasant surprise this year and we should be seeing more of them come March. Yale is a rarity in the fact that they play both sides of the ball exceptionally. They allow the 13th lowest field goal percentage and 49th lowest points per game. On the other side of the ball they shoot the ball very well and are even good from beyond the arc leading to an average of 77 points per game. While Penn is no slouch the only place they lack is defense. The Quakers rebound poorly which leads to a lot of second chances and a high average opponent points per game of 71. Yale on the other hand rebounds well on both sides and should dominate the boards. The Bulldogs are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 and are 9-1 straight up in their last 10. I see Yale running away with this one at home and I like them with the points.
Over Under Pick
Yale’s ability to dominate the rebounds category against teams mean that a team that shoots really well gets a lot of second chances to score and opponents don’t. They rank 33rd on offense and 48th on defense in rebounds per game. Penn usually likes to play slow in order to allow their offense to work and the keep the ball out of the other team’s hands. However, I see the Bulldogs going up early and that means Penn will have to play fast, which is out of their comfort zone. Despite both teams ability to shoot above a 45 percent clip, Penn has only scored more than 70 points once in their last five games. I see Yale’s defense smothering a struggling Quakers offense. The under has hit in four of Penn’s last five and 13 of their last 16 in conference matchups. Take the under.