Against The Spread Pick
One of this season’s most pleasant surprises has been the Arizona Wildcats. Averaging 78 points per game while also featuring a prominent defense that allows just 65 points per game and holds opponents under 40 percent from the field. Arizona gets even scarier at home where they are 11-2 in their last thirteen. At home, the Wildcats average a crazy 84 points per game and are almost shooting 50 percent from the field. Oregon State is coming in as an all around average team that has gotten lost in a talented Pac-12 field, despite a win against #14 Oregon. They are 1-3 in their last four road games. That only win came against this Arizona team back in January. Oregon State is just 3-6 ATS in their last nine and 2-6 ATS in their last eight against Arizona. The Wildcats are 8-4 ATS in their last twelve games. I like Arizona to cover.
Over Under Pick
Everything is pointing to the under in this one. Arizona’s defense has been particularly effective at home. Oregon State hasn’t been able to play up to their own level on the road and is allowing opponents to shoot 46 percent from the field. While Arizona has the chance to run their own total into the 80s I just don’t see Oregon State being able to hang with them. Oregon State is ranked 253rd in total possessions per game so I’m expecting them to slow things down to keep the ball away from the Wildcats offense. The under has hit in four of Arizona’s last five and five times in the Beavers last seven. Look for this to go under.