Against The Spread Pick
It is still weird seeing these two schools come into this matchup with the respective records. The Tar Heels have just been bad this season as they have slipped to a 10-17 overall record and are just 5-8 at home. The Wolfpack, on the other hand, are 5-5 on the road as part of their 17-10 record. The Tar Heels are a dismal 3-10 at home ATS, while the Wolfpack are 6-4 on the road ATS. UNC has lost seven in a row so it is hard to get behind them as a home favorite here, even in a rivalry matchup. UNC players have missed 85 combined games this season and Garrison Brooks still has question marks on his fitness due to illness. CJ Bryce – the Wolfpack’s leading scorer – was scoreless on 0-of-8 shooting in the first contest between these two this season and he will be looking for a big performance here as the Wolfpack cover as road ‘dogs.
Over Under Pick
Rivalry games can be something of a crapshoot but don’t be shocked if this one stays low scoring as this is a game that both schools will feel big pressure to win. The Tar Heels have won 31 of the last 35 meetings between the two schools, so there will be a little more tension in every shot taken than in a game against any other school for the Wolfpack players. These are both teams that have trended to the under this entire season, with them combining for a 20-33-1 record in terms of playing the over/under. The Wolfpack are 5-5 O/U on the road while the Tar Heels are 6-9-1 on the year in that metric at home. With the way the two teams are playing – especially the disaster that is the Tar Heels – there won’t be enough scoring to hit the over here.