The Minnesota Twins have been in Boston Tuesday for match one of a three-game show with the Red Sox. The Twins are in the first place, and they ended the month strong and have put five and a half matches between themselves and the Indians for first place after letting the Cleveland Indians grab them early August. The Twins would love the Red Sox out of the playoff picture in this sequence and have won eight out of their last nine matches.
For Boston, they are scratching and clawing and doing everything thing they can to get back into the playoff picture in the American League. The defending World Series champs are five and a half games back from the Cleveland Indians for the card that is 2nd, and final playoff spot in the league and find themselves a fifteen games from the New York Yankees for the AL East Division title.
The Red Sox have won six from eleven from the last fifteen, and the last eight games as they’re playing with a feeling of immediacy. But even with this current explosion, they’re longshots to make the playoffs would need to catch fire in September and find some help from the Rays, Indians, and Athleticsthe teams that they are pursuing if they are going to backdoor into the playoffs to protect their name.
Starting tonight for the Red Sox is currently Rick Porcello (12-10 5.42 ERA), also for the Twins it’s rookie Randy Dobnak (0-0 0.00 ERA) making his inaugural big-league begin. The game total over-under is place at eleven and a half of runs. The Red Sox are all -135 favorites. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 PM PST from Fenway Park in Boston.
Randy Dobnak started his time pitching. Prior to getting the call to join the Twins in August he then was quickly moved up to double-A, and finally triple-A. He was light’s from the minors this year because he ran a 12-4 record with an ERA of just 2.07. But I really don’t need to inform you men that pitching in single-A ball from a lot of high school kids and with achievement doesn’t imply that you can walk to the major leagues and keep on that success, particularly against a hard-hitting group such as the Boston Red Sox.
Dobnak continues to be adequate and has appeared this year. His ERA is showing at 0.00, but he did give up two unearned runs in his eight innings of work. He’s done a excellent job as he’s allowed thirteen hits in those eight innings of 27, of getting out of jams so much this year. It is a challenge to draw much inference from eight innings however he is likely to give up some runs if he is going to place that many runners on base tonight against Boston.
Rick Porcello is having a season that is strange. He does a fantastic job of winning games, although he hasn’t pitched well. And the primary reason for that is this Boston team simply loves to score runs for him. Porcello has a streak support number of over seven runs per game, among the highest levels from the majors, also lately that number has been moving up much more. The Red Sox have scored at least nine runs of aid in seven from his twenty five starts.
I have this small trend I have been following for most of the season. When Rick Porcello pitches I bet that the over. Either provides a whole lot of runs up and he’s bad, in which his ERA was north of seven runs we watched this in July and June, or the Red Sox score a whole lot of runs to encourage him. In any event, the games have been coasting into the above. The Red Sox have combined to score ten runs or more in ten of the last eleven matches.
And these are a number of these games are likely over WAY. The Red Sox have combined around the mound to score fourteen runs with Porcello, twelve occasions already this season. He has just made twenty-seven begins on the year, meaning that nearly 45% of the time that he pitches the matches are very high scoring. I find no reason that the trend won’t last tonight.
Particularly when you examine this matchup, the Minnesota Twins’ other side. The Twins broke the home run record for a season and have been the team at the game all year, with a few left to play. This can be a prolific crime and they are going tonight.
Throw in the fact that the Twins are starting a guy who pitched in single-A before this year, and this could be one of those 13-12 shootout types of games. So, I take the over twenty five and will continue the tendency and a half runs in game one. Do not be amazed if this one ends from the range that was twenty-run!

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