Memphis

SMU

PICKS


SMU -4 Point Spread
-110



Under 143.5 Game Totals
-115

Against The Spread Pick

This a huge American game in terms of overall resumes for the teams playing. As it stands, Memphis is projected to be one of the “Next Four Out” according to ESPN’s Joe Lunardi. SMU are also on the outside looking in, but are would be less likely to make it compared to the Tigers. Both of these teams have a conference record of 8-6, so creating separation could help them in terms of conference seeding. The Mustangs beat the Tigers in the first meeting, winning 74-70 on the road. SMU is 7-3 ATS against the Tigers over the last 10 meetings. Furthermore, the favorite is 9-2 ATS in the last 11 head to head meetings, so I lean SMU here to cover.

Over Under Pick

The over was able to cash in the first meeting, but Memphis is much worse on the road, so I would take a look at the under here. The Tigers are only scoring 62.1 points in games away from home. The good news for Memphis is they only allow 67.1 points in these games, so overall their defense has been solid. SMU on the other hand are scoring 78.4 points per home game, but allowing just 65.8. The under is 10-2 in Memphis’ last 12 road games. I expect the Tigers offensive struggles to continue on the road here, so I lean to the under to cash.