McNeese State



Over 147 Point Spread

MCNEESE -1 Game Totals

Against The Spread Pick

The Southland Conference Tournament continues with this clash between teams with similar overall and league records. McNeese State finished the season with a 15-16 record and went 10-10 in conference play and they face a Lamar squad that went 16-15 and also 10-10. The final game of the regular season was a match against each other that McNeese won 70-66 on the road. McNeese has won three of four while Lamar is has lost two on the bounce entering tournament play. McNeese has not been great ATS down the stretch as they are just 3-7 against the points in their last 10 games. Lamar has been better as they are 13-13-1 on the season and they are 6-4 ATS in their last 10. The win by McNeese late in the season – on the road – is the determining factor for why I am going with them here.

Over Under Pick

McNeese State is a high scoring team that scores 80.0 ppg on the back of the work of Sha’Markus Kennedy and his 18.6 ppg. They allow 74.5 ppg too, so there is plenty of value in predicting a high scoring game here. Lamar puts up 72.0 ppg while allowing 69.9 ppg, with leading scorer T.J. Atwood and his 16.7 ppg. Lamar’s defensive pressure is going to be key here as they force turnovers on 24 percent of possessions. This is the 14th highest such rate in the country and if those turnover lead to fast-break points to keep the scoreboard moving then the chances of this game hitting the over increase dramatically. The teams played out a 96-91 win to Lamar earlier in the season that clearly breaks to the over and that is where the pick is here.