Against The Spread Pick
UMass is playing too well right now to be getting this many points. They have beat good teams like St. Louis and VCU en route to being 3-1 in their last four and having won 3 straight in conference. Only Dayton was able to take them out a few weeks ago. They haven’t lost a game by more than 11.5 points since Feb 1. Overall, the Minutemen have been good ATS, going 17-10-1 this year ATS and going 5-0-1 ATS in their last six. UMass is trying to keep the hot streak alive and continue one of the best seasons in program history and Richmond may be looking past them. I like UMass with the points a lot.
Over Under Pick
UMass gives up 70.9 points per game, which ranks No. 207 in the nation. Their total is skewed due to a few early season blowouts, however. UMass’ defense has been playing great as of late. In the last 5 games they have only allowed an average of 60 points per game. They only gave up 71 to a very talented Dayton team and was able to hold VCU to just 52. To make the picture a little clearer, Richmond is an excellent defensive team, giving up just over 66 points per game. The under has hit six times in the Minutemen’s last six games against a team with a winning percentage above .600 and five times in their last five games following an ATS win. The under is a nice play here.