Against The Spread Pick
Fordham has hit a major block and in the road losing their last seven straight. UMass on the other hand is looking to build off of a nice win against St. Louis. UMass has been a bettor’s friend the last seven games going 5-1-1 ATS. Fordham features arguably a top five worst offense in the country only averaging 57 points per game and shooting a terrible 37.8 percent from the field. Where Fordham has found success is with their defense who rank in the top 15 in opponent points per game. The Minutemen are all around a statistically below average team. While traditionally Fordham gives UMass problems especially at home I just don’t think they have it this year. An offense that bad is often a hurdle that is hard to overcome. I like UMass with the points.
Over Under Pick
The under is an intriguing pick here. While this line is going to be set fairly low, and reasonably so, it is going to be the play here. Both of these teams have bad offenses with mediocre or good defenses. That is a combination for a low scoring game. In their last five games Fordham has failed to surpass 56 points. The under is 5-0 in UMass’ last five games. The Minutemen only shoot 43 percent from the field. UMass’ offense is not capable of hitting the over by themselves and won’t get much help from the Rams. Take the under with lots of confidence.