Against The Spread Pick
The St. Mary’s Gaels are on track for an NCAA Tournament bid if they can keep winning games like this one against the underpowered Loyola Marymount Lions. The Gaels won the first matchup between the two sides 73-62 and the Lions have been on a bad run recently where their win last time out over Santa Clara was their first victory in three weeks. Jordan Ford is the main man for the Gaels as the 20th leading scorer in the nation puts up 20.8 ppg. The spread here is a big one at 15 points and while the Gaels score plenty, they are also 292nd in the country in opponents field goal percentage. Loyola is -8.0 in scoring margin in their last five road games and they will do just about enough to keep this one close and slide in with the cover as the road team is 7-2 ATS when these two play.
Over Under Pick
Loyola Marymount don’t score a ton of points but they are an excellent shooting team who tend to make the shots they do take. They shoot nearly 47% from the floor and should be able to get close to that number against a St. Mary’s team that doesn’t defend all that well. St. Mary’s are also a hot-shooting team and they shoot 48.3% on a much higher volume of shots. They also shoot 41.5% from outside the arc. St. Mary’s attacking philosophy means they average an impressive 75.9 ppg and it is easy to see them eclipsing this number against a Loyola team that has defensive issues of its own. Expect plenty of buckets and tip the over in this one.