Against The Spread Pick
It is always more difficult to play ATS in a rivalry game such as this one between the Ragin’ Cajuns and the Warhawks. ULL is coming off a win over Troy which snapped a two-game losing streak and they have been a good team offensively this year (71.5 ppg) while struggling hard when trying to protect their basket (giving up 74.7 ppg). The Warhawks had a horrible stretch where they lost 10 on the bounce, but have since picked up their game and have won two of their last three games. I like the Warhawks here as the ULL offense doesn’t work as well on the road (65.7 ppg) and they play a Warhawks team that gives up just 64.9 ppg at home. Take ULM and the points as they have found some rhythm offensively over their last four or five games.
Over Under Pick
ULM at home will have the defensive ability to slow down the Ragin’ Cajuns and send this game to the under. The total has gone under in five of the Warhawks’ last seven games and in eight of their last 12 against the in-state rivals from Lafayette. While the Ragin’ Cajuns are a team that has trended to the over recently, they are a much freer scoring team at home than they are on the road, especially against a team with a defense and playing style designed to make this a game with fewer possessions than normal. Neither of these squads have enough shooters to push this one over the total.