Against The Spread Pick
Though the Fighting Illini are projected to be an 8 seed in the NCAA tournament, this is a game they cannot afford to lose. At 10-6 in the conference, Illinoise still have a chance to receive a double bye for the conference tournament as they are in 4th place as of Wednesday. This team has won two in a row after a recently four-game losing streak. Northwestern on the other hand, are a disaster this season. They have won 1 of their 16 conference games and have not won a game in general since January 11th. The Wildcats are 3-11 ATS at home this season as well, so odds are they will get blown out again. The Fighting Illini are also 9-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings, so I like this game to be a blowout in favor of Illinois.
Over Under Pick
I really cannot get behind this total because Northwestern is so inconsistent. Sometimes they play decent defense, where other times they give up 83 points to a team like Minnesota. Neither side are averaging more than 65 points over their last five games, but as mentioned, Northwestern’s defense is the one allowing nearly 80 points per game. The over is 3-0 in the last 3 meetings and I loo for Illinois to really take it to the Wildcats. That being said, my lean would be on the over.