Against The Spread Pick
The Idaho Vandals are one of the worst teams in college basketball this season. They enter this game with an overall record of 5-15, which includes a conference record of 1-8, putting them in 11th place in the Big Sky. The Vandals have also lost their last six games in a row, including a 72-77 road loss against Northern Arizona on Saturday. Idaho will look to snap their losing streak when they travel to take on the Sacramento State Hornets. Meanwhile, the Hornets enter this game in 8th place in the conference with a conference record of 4-6 and an overall record of 11-8. The Hornets have lost their previous two games in a row and four of their last five, which includes a 54-59 home loss against Eastern Washington on Saturday. I look for Sacramento State to come away with the win, but I look for the Vandals to cover with the 10.5 points. This line is inflated.
Over Under Pick
Neither team has been explosive offensively as both are well below-average. Idaho enters this game averaging 66.05 points per game, which ranks 304th in the nation. They have also been a below-average team defensively this season, allowing an average of 70.65 points per game, which ranks 219th. Meanwhile, Sacramento State is one of the worst teams in terms of points per game. They enter this game averaging 60.47 points per game, which ranks 342nd. However, the Hornets are one of the most elite teams defensively this season as they enter this game allowing the 3rd-fewest points in college basketball with 56.74 per game. With neither team being great offensively, I look for the under 119 points to be the winning side.