Against The Spread Pick
The Patriots have been an up and down team this season and they are on a streaky run which has seen them lose four of their last six contests straight up. They aren’t a high scoring team and they will want to keep the possession count low and use much of the shot close against a team with an even worse offense than theirs. The Patriots score 68.2 points per game and average giving up 68 ppg, so the odds are good that this one won’t be a blowout one way or the other. It is hard to see the Colonials covering the -6.5 spread when you consider they score just 60 ppg on the road and that the Patriots will play a style that cuts their scoring options down even further. The Patriots are also a better rebounding team and they will use their ability to crash the boards and keep the Colonials off of the glass, denying second-chance points.
Over Under Pick
The Colonials are one of the worst offensive teams in the nation and their inability to score the ball is really going to keep the total low in this one. They shoot just 32% from three-point range, so their ability to push the score to the over if they are behind is limited. This is a team that averages a shade under 67 ppg and their form is far worse than that as they are coming off of a 52 point effort in their last game. The Patriots have a better ability to score the ball, but GW gives up just 69.9 ppg too so the lean is to the under here despite the total being so low. The GW offense has basically stopped working and they have scored less than 55 points in each of their three most recent losses.