Against the Spread Pick
This is just about the biggest mismatch you can find in the Atlantic 10. The Dayton Flyers are 19-2 overall, 8-0 in the conference, and ranked No. 7 in the nation; the Fordham Rams are 7-13 and 1-7 in the conference–better than only Saint Joseph’s. Dayton has won 10 in a row and it has dominated all 11 of its home games this season by double-digits. Obi Toppin (19.8 ppg) has led the squad in scoring twice in a row with 24 and 22 points. Fordham is in the midst of a 1-7 stretch. The Rams are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 overall and 1-4 ATS in their last five against opponents with winning records. Dayton is 4-1 ATS in its last five at home and 9-4 ATS in its last 13 against opponents with winning percentages under .400. Take the FLYERS.
Over Under Pick
Dayton features four players averaging in double-figures and a fifth (Ryan Mikesell) is not far behind at 9.7 ppg. Three of the Flyers’ top four scorers are shooting at least 40 percent from three-point range. The over is 7-3 in the Rams’ last 10 against opponents with winning records. It is also 6-0 in the Flyers’ last six overall, 5-1 in their last six against opponents with winning records, and 6-0 in their last six following a win. Go with the OVER.