Last night was a perfect illustration of a night to overlook my FanDuel MLB DFS Picks.
I took a risk with rostering left-hander Brendan McKay from a team in the Seattle Mariners that may hit the ball hard but also strikes out a lot, and the former is what ended up happening. McKay surrendered seven runs (but only three earned) in two innings of work because he allowed three hits — including two home runs — and three walks with just one strikeout. That is the worst pitching operation we’ve seen in these types of lineups.
Our four-man D-backs stack did??some??damage as Ketel Marte continued his breakout year with his 26th home run, a two-run shot. In addition, he added a stroll. David Peralta doubled within a two-hit night together with 2 RBI and Eduardo Escobar scored a run and run. Add a zero from Christian Walker and the results with this particular high-upside, four-man pile were unsatisfactory to be sure.
Our three-man Reds stack was just barbarous as a stroll from both Phillip Ervin and Eugenio Suarez was that the only contributions we’d get from that group.
Finally, we received a few good worth from one-off shortstop Wilfredo Tovar who pumped a set of singles to us since a minimal $2,000 price.
Let’s put this one behind us now and move forward into tonight’s plump 15-game major slate!
P — Sonny Gray (CIN) — $10,400 vs. SD
There is tons of arms with this masterpiece that draw your focus such as Clayton Kershaw, Stephen Strasburg, Shane Bieber and Aaron Nola, but I enjoy Gray because his cost is not in the level which Kershaw is at over $12K, but the upside might be equally as strong as he takes on the San Diego Padres tonight in home. The boundaries of Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati are of those hitter-friendly environment, however that hasn’t stopped?? Gray from twirling a 3.15 ERA, 3.23 FIP, 3.48 xFIP along with a big-time 10.62 K/9 at home. The latter of those numbers are outstanding to his figures on the street, as is his own 3.86 K/BB at home as he has run into a command problems on the road using a 4.08 BB/9, however, owns a pleasant 2.75 mark in your home. Gray has been especially dominant of late, entering this one tonight riding a three-start scoreless series since he has not allowed a run over his last 18 innings with 24 strikeouts in that span. His last two trips have come in the home and he is hurled 11 innings of shutout ball in that time together with 17 strikeouts to boot. The strikeout upside down gets a notch in the perfect direction as the Padres possess the league’s second-highest strikeout speed versus right-handed piching with a K-rate of 26.4percent from these. Given the strikeout upside in this matchup along with his latest work, Gray seems to be a wonderful play on this major slate.
C/1B — Anthony Rizzo (CHC) — $4,200 vs. SF
I actually haven’t piled against the Giants far this season because they have a top 10 bullpen to back their starters, although I think that the Cubs have some real nice upside , as do the oddsmakers in they have a big 5.9 run projection in this stage in time. The Cubs will take on right-hander Tyler Beede with scuffled to the song of a 5.77 ERA along with also 5.42 FIP on the time to go along with a 1.85 HR/9 rate. He has also been touched for a 6.23 ERA on the path to go alongside a 5.82 FIP and also 1.89 HR/9 clip. Lastly, Beede has recently posted a 9.95 ERA around three August begins to this stage with a 2.64 HR/9 contrary, so there’s loads of reason to believe this Cubs team could put some runs on the board in a big way tonight. Input Rizzo who’s once again doing some big-time damage against right-wing pitching with a .240 ISO, .960 OPS, .401 wOBA along with a 148 wRC+ from them for the season. He has seen his ISO dip to .179 in house versus righties, but his .962 OPS, .407 wOBA and 152 wRC+ are superior at home versus his marks on the road versus righties. Rizzo homered in his final game at Williamsport, the home of the Little League World Series, against the Pirates, his second long ball over his last four games. For him to continue to swing a more pole that is highly effective in this 1 tonight, let’s search.
2B — Cesar Hernandez (PHI) — $2,500 vs. BOS
After picking Gray as my pitcher and a four-man Cubs pile to direct the Warriors within this lineup, I had to be discerning with the rest of my picks from a salary standpoint as there wasn’t a ton to invest on every player at that point. I’ve discovered a low-owned mini-stack that could pay some big benefits in a positive matchup tonight. Hernandez’s Phillies take on the Red Sox along with also left-hander Brian Johnson within this 1 tonight, so he of some grisly 6.45 ERA, 5.95 FIP and also 5.99 xFIP on the season to go along with a large 2.01 HR/9 against too. He has been hit hard by right-wing bats in his brief time in the bigs this season, and also the switch-hitting Hernandez will indeed swing from the right side against him. The energy is improved from the left side of this plate, even though he is smacked eight of the 23 doubles right into a lefty and he’s struck eight complete home runs and stolen seven overall bases to provide us some power/speed upside . Usually I only use him versus righties, but given how bad Johnson was right-handed nerves and the fact he’s definitely going to be part of a mini-stack in low possession, I will roll the dice on the Phillies’ second baseman tonight.
3B — Sean Rodriguez (PHI) — $2,200 vs. BOS
We will finish the Phillies mini-stack here in order as Rodriguez looks to give us some value tonight against the struggling Johnson. Rodriguez has left his big league cash hitting against left wing pitching for power that is notable. With this time, he is hitting .267 using a .222 ISO, .842 OPS, .356 wOBA and 119 wRC+ from left handed pitching. When we compare it to his .154 ordinary, .059 ISO, .437 OPS, .201 wOBA along with 18 wRC+ vs righties, we can see why Rodriguez begins almost entirely against left-wing pitching as he has done throughout his lengthy big league tenure. In layman’s terms, Rodriguez has smacked every one of his homers from lefties in 45 at-bats with no homers around 34 at-bats versus righties. Even the 34-year-old also posted a huge .356 ISO in Triple-A this year in limited action with an 1.000 OPS versus left wing pitching. He rarely has an whole match as he is mostly replaced when a right-handed reliever is summoned to confront himbut the second-last time he did get four at-bats at a game, Rodriguez knocked three hits including a home run. He’s fought in largely pinch-hit duty since, but I am still digging the upside we are getting to get a lefty-masher at a near-minimum cost versus a fighting left-hander tonight.
SS — Javier Baez (CHC) — $4,100 vs. SF
Next guy up in our Cubs heap is Baez who has superior amounts versus left-wing pitching, but I very much want him within this heap versus a right-hander in addition to he is mashed them also. He does possess a large .333 ISO and .998 OPS versus left wing pitching, but Baez also sports a .240 ISO, .824 OPS, .337 wOBA along with 106 wRC+ vs right-handed pitching. He has hit 20 of his 28 homers versus righties as well as 30 of his own 34 doubles, but for some reason the Cubs have faced so few left-handers this year that the eight homers and four doubles he has posted versus lefties have his numbers soaring against them. The stolen base upside down is there as well with 10 steals on the season, but interestingly only three of those have come at the cost of a right-handed pitcher. Having said that, Baez has fared considerably better at home versus right-handed throwing, thanks partly to the famous jet stream that blows out to left area — Baez’s pull area — in Wrigley Field in Chicago. Baez owns a big-time .302 ISO, .961 OPS, .392 wOBA along with 142 wRC+ versus right-handed pitching at home that season. After slumping for a few matches, Baez went 2 for 5 with a double and a run scored on the game in Williamsport on Sunday night, so let’s search for him to assemble on this multi-hit campaign in this one tonight.
OF — Kyle Schwarber (CHC) — $3,300 vs. SF
Ongoing our Cubs pile is Schwarber who loves himself some pitching. Schwarber’s 28 extended balls over the season are merely two shy of tying his career-high of 30 set in the 2017 year, along with 24 of these 28 extended balls have come from a pitcher that is right-wing as he will face tonight in the Giants’ Tyler Beede. Schwarber doesn’t hit for much average whatsoever that drags his OPS and wOBA despite a few strong walk amounts, however the raw energy is what we are looking for as he owns a .276 ISO versus righties to go together with the .835 OPS, .342 wOBA along with 109 wRC+ vs opposite-handed pitching. Despite Wrigley Field perhaps not being the absolute most hitter-friendly venue for left-handed hitters like Schwarber, he loves mashing righties in the home as he matches a .296 ISO, .918 OPS, .373 wOBA along with 129 wRC+ versus righties at home in comparison to a .257 ISO, .760 OPS, .315 wOBA and 91 wRC+ on the road versus righties. Schwarber has completely removed at the second half of this season as we’ve seen before with him. Since returning in the All-Star fracture, Schwarber has published a large .344 ISO, .900 OPS, .368 wOBA and 126 wRC+. At a good example of a low average but lots of power, three of Schwarber’s last five strikes have left the yard. Look for more of the same against a pitcher that is right-handed allowing the fair share of home runs.
OF — Ian Happ (CHC) — $3,100 vs. SF
Last man upward in our Cubs stack is Happ who certainly has plenty of pop into that bat. Happ has spent the majority of the season in the Triple-A level for a casualty of a numbers game in the Cubs outfield, however despite not just ripping it up in Triple-A with a .189 ISO and 96 wRC+, Happ has posted big-time amounts in his big league tenure this season over hi 62 plate looks. He possesses a .291 ISO and 133 wRC+ in the major league level this year with four balls for his title. The switch-hitting utility man owns a .278 ISO, .937 OPS, .390 wOBA and 140 wRC+ in his brief major league time this year versus right-handed pitching. He burst on the scene in 2017 with 24 home runs after a mid-season promotion, also switch-hitter possesses excellent career amounts versus righties using a .242 ISO, .845 OPS, .355 wOBA and also a 120 wRC+ vs righties compared to a .171 ISO, .713 OPS, .303 wOBA and 86 wRC+ vs lefties. He’s yet to swipe at a base in the big leagues this year, however did have nine stelas in 99 Triple-A matches this season and contains 16 stolen bases from 279 major league games for his livelihood, therefore we do have a touch of stolen base upside here as well. I will take the cross-category upside down here in order to anchor our pile tonight.
OF — Lane Thomas (STL) — $2,300 vs. MIL
I’ll be finishing this lineup with a set of one-off outfielders, beginning here with Thomas who chooses on left-hander Gio Gonzalez along with the Milwaukee Brewers tonight. Gonzalez continues to be fine this year and isn’t a pitcher that I target often, but virtually all the damage against him comes from right-handed nerves and Thomas has very good numbers against lefties equally in the big leagues and minor league level this year. Entering this 1 tonight, Thomas is currently 4 for 2 with a homer and a triple vs left wing pitching in a tiny huge league sample this year. In addition, he attempted a steal versus a lefty, albeit an unsuccessful attempt, but does have a steal off of a righty. On the other hand, the 23-year-old did post an .826 OPS versus lefties in the minors this year where he also found success on the basepaths with 11 wants to grow his 10 home runs. Two of the 11 steals from the minors were off of left-handed pitching. Thomas has a record of the precious power/speed mix within his minor league career as he homered 27 days and stole 17 bases around two levels last year and has double-digit steals in the minors in each of his two preceding decades. I think we will get him low possession on this particular slate and I am excited to see if he can provide some big-time worth against a southpaw pitcher.
UTIL — Joc Pederson (LAD) — $2,900 vs. TOR
Completing our lineup tonight is Pederson who takes a bunch of value. The Dodgers have been set to take on right-hander Sean Reid-Foley, a rookie to the Blue Jays who possesses a 3.00 ERA in six starts and eight appearances at the big league level, but in addition a 4.88 FIP and enormous 6.18 xFIP to go along with a enormous 5.70 BB/9 speed as well. Moreover, Reid-Foley was brutalized at the Triple-A level with a 6.26 ERA, 5.53 FIP and also 5.31 xFIP to go along with a massive 6.80 BB/9 rate also. Clearly, he is due to a big-time regression in the big leagues after being roughed up from the minors this year. As is normally the case from a right-handed starter, Pederson is estimated to hit at the leadoff spot tonight. He enjoys himself a right-handed pitching because he possesses a huge .272 ISO, .851 OPS, .354 wOBA along with 121 wRC+ vs righties over the season while all of his 24 long balls come from a righty. He is much like Schwarber in the sense he does not reach for a big average but rather power. He is also like Schwarber at the sense he mashes righties in the home with Pederson owning an eye-popping .381 ISO, 1.026 OPS, .416 wOBA and 161 wRC+ at home versus righties this season. I think I will take that form of production out of the valuable leadoff spot tonight.
Last night was a perfect illustration of a night to overlook my FanDuel MLB DFS Picks.