Southern Illinois


Evansville +9 Point Spread

Under 129 Game Totals

Against The Spread Pick

It is shocking what has happened to Evansville this season as they went from beating Kentucky, to 0-14 in the Missouri Valley. This means they have lost 14 in a row and have not won a game since before Christmas. On the other side of this match-up, is Southern Illinois, who have lost 2 in a row and have a conference record of 9-5. They are currently tied for 3rd in the Missouri Valley, and really need a bounce back game against the worst team in the conference. Despite the fact that Evansville cannot win a game, they have played the Salukis extremely tight over recent years. In the last 11 head to head meetings, the Purple Aces are 8-2-1 ATS against Southern Illinois. Because this spread is inflated, I lean to Evansville to pick up the cover.

Over Under Pick

This is not a total I want to play because neither team has a good offense. Evansville only averages 67.9 points per game, while Southern Illinois is scoring 62.2. Even in road/home games respectively, neither team even averages more than 70 points per game. The Saukis defense is on point however, allowing just 58.2. In the first meeting, the under cashed despite the fact that the game went to overtime. I look for the offensive struggles to continue for both sides and will take the under as a lean.