Against The Spread Pick
USF is looking to correct the ship at home after dropping their last four. In the last ten games of this matchup these teams have split even. USF is quite the anomaly having one of the best defenses in the country, only allowing 62 points per game. However, they pair it with one of the worst offenses in the country who only averages 62 points per game which ranks 340th in the country. To make things worse they shoot just 41 percent from the field which ranks 310th in the country. East Carolina sits pretty much in the middle in all categories making them an average team all around. The first game between these two teams saw USF walking away with a 62-59 victory. East Carolina is 4-1 ATS in their last five and 4-1 ATS in their last five games against USF. South Florida is just 7-13 ATS in their last 20 games played on Wednesday. I think USF walks away with a victory, but their inability to score means they never truly can runaway with it. Take East Carolina to cover this one.
Over Under Pick
Both of these teams have had their struggles scoring. The Bulls defense has been great and it should be able to suffocate an average Pirates offense. In UCF’s last 10 games they have been shooting below 40 percent. USF also has the defensive rebounding to ensure that the Pirate’s second chances are limited. The under has been trending with these two teams with it going 4-2 in ECU’s last six and 10-2 in UCF’s last twelve. The under is also 11-3 when the Bulls play at home. While the lines are going to be increasingly low, I think the under is still the play.