Against The Spread Pick
Two of the top teams in the Atlantic 10 square off in this match-up. Duquesne finally snapped a three-game losing streak in their last game when they beat La Salle, 71-69. They still have a 6-3 record in conference play, which has them tied for third with these Billikens. St. Louis is starting to heat up, having won three in a row with their last win coming against St. Joes. Even though they are winning games, they are just 1-3 against the spread in their last four. Despite that, it is important to note that the home team is 16-5 ATS in the last 21 head to head meetings. We saw this a couple weeks ago when the Dukes won by 14 on their home floor as a 2.5-point favorite. Sticking with the home team trend here, I lean to the Billikens to win this game and cover the spread to extend their win streak.
Over Under Pick
The total is actually the play I like better in this game because of how low it is set at. Both teams are averaging 70 points or more per game, but there is nothing special about either defense. The over is 14-3 in the last 17 meetings and 9-1 in the last 10. The Billikens have seen 8 of their 12 home games go over the total and I expect a fast paced game here as well. That being said, I like this game to fly over the total and will take the over as a strong lean.