Against the Spread Pick
A successful National Championship defense is probably not forthcoming for the Virginia Cavaliers, but they are at least getting their act together in time to make some sort of noise in March. Virginia has won five games in a row and eight of its last nine heading into Saturday’s showdown against the Duke Blue Devils. This is by far the Wahoos’ best stretch of play in 2019-20 (their 7-0 start came against unspectacular non-conference competition). Defensive stopper Mamadi Diakite has reached double-figures in points on nine consecutive occasions. Duke has dropped two of its past three contests, first to N.C. State by 22 points and then at Wake Forest in double-overtime.The Blue Devils are 2-5 ATS in their last seven overall and 0-4 ATS in their last four on the road. Virginia is 3-0-1 ATS in its last four overall and 5-0 ATS in its last five as a home underdog. It is also worth noting that the underdog is 21-8-1 ATS in the last 30 meetings between the two teams. Go with the CAVALIERS.
Over Under Pick
The winning team in each of Duke’s past three outings has scored at least 88 points. Four different Blue Devils are averaging in double-figures, led by Vernon Carey Jr. (17.6 ppg). The over is 20-7 in the Blue Devils’ last 27 overall, 5-1 in their last six on the road, and 5-0 in their last five following a loss. It is also 4-1 in the Cavaliers’ last five following a win and 7-3 in their last 10 at home against opponents with road winning percentages over .600. Look for this one to go OVER the total.