Richmond +6.5 Point Spread

Over 145 Game Totals

Against the Spread Pick

Two of the top teams in the Atlantic 10 will go head to head as 7th ranked Dayton take on Richmond. Of course Dayton looks like a team that is going to make the tournament regardless of what happens in the A-10 conference tourney. However, Richmond needs as many wins as possible to make a case for themselves. The Spiders are 7-3 in their last 10 games, but the Flyers are 9-1 in their last 10. The only difference between these teams in conference is Dayton beat St. Louis, while Richmond lost to them in a blowout. Richmond has covered in six of their 10 home games this year. Even with a team like Dayton, laying nearly seven is not something I want to do. I will take the home ‘dog here to keep this one close.

Over Under Pick

The total in this game is 144.5 and the over is where I will be looking. First off, Dayton is the fourth best scoring team in the country. They are averaging 83 points per game. Shockingly, the Flyers still average 80.7 points per game on the road, so they have not seen much of a drop-off. Richmond is another team that is having a ton of success scoring. They average 76.1 points per game, but at home this season their average increases to 80.4 points per game. The over is 7-1-1 in Dayton’s last 9 road games and I believe they will look to push the pace which will help this game go over.