Dayton -14 Point Spread

Under 148 Game Totals

Against the Spread Pick

This is a classic letdown spot for the Flyers.  Their last game was a home test against Rhode Island that they passed with flying colours. I am not saying this is the best team in America but when you combine their offensive prowess with a solid D they are so tough to beat and this should be an easy one. Obi Toppin is going to be player of the year and Jalin Crutcher might be the next best guy.  UMass just doesn’t have a lot to work with this season. The Minutemen are off a win but this is not a great team this year.  Tre Mitchell has some size and is the leading scorer so he may make Toppin work but that is not a matchup0 they are going to win.  When you look at the other spots on the floor it is hard to find something that they can go to consistently. Dayton has been so strong. Stick with them here.

Over Under Pick

Dayton is first in FG% and 5th in scoring so it is no surprise that 2/3 of their games are going over the total. They are just so efficient.  They can make free throws too at 73%. I think they could be a in a bit of a funk to start though so I am looking to go under.  There will not be a need for all of those late free throws.