Against the Spread Pick
Two difficult games remain in the Dayton Flyers’ bid to go undefeated in the Atlantic 10. One is against the Davidson Wildcats on Friday. Although the spread is 11 points, it is likely a double-digit contest will not be what develops. Dayton has gone four straight games without winning by more than 10 points, so it is not exactly dominant at the moment. The Wildcats are 4-1 in their last five outings, with the only setback during this stretch coming via a one-point decision against VCU. Kellan Grady (16.8 ppg) has scored at least 20 points in three consecutive contests. Davidson is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 after allowing fewer than 50 points in its previous outing and 9-4 ATS in its last 13 following a win by at least 20 points. The Flyers are 2-6 ATS in their last eight overall, 2-6 ATS in their last eight as favorites, and 2-6 ATS in their last eight following a win. It is also worth noting that the road team is 4-0-1 ATS in the last five head-to-head matchups and the underdog is 3-1-1 ATS in the last five.
Over Under Pick
The ‘Cats have really been putting the clamps down on defense, which is one reason why they should keep this close. In their last four regulation games the opposition has scored 49, 64, 73, and 49 points. The under is 14-5-3 in the Wildcats’ last 22 against opponents with winning percentages over .600 and 7-2-2 in their last 11 as underdogs. It is also 5-2 in the Flyers’ last seven overall and 4-1 in their last five at home against opponents with losing road records. Look for this one to stay UNDER the total.