Against The Spread Pick
Coming off a high scoring shootout with Kent State, Buffalo travels to Ohio to face off against the Bobcats. Buffalo comes into this one featuring one of the most high powered offenses in the country. They pair this with a below average defense who ranks 305th in points allowed per game at nearly 79. Ohio is an all around average team having just come off a tough loss to Bowling Green. Both teams are actually better against the spread on the road than at home. The Bulls are 5-1 ATS in their last six on the road. Ohio finds wins by keeping teams offenses in check and keeping it relatively low scoring. In their last four wins they were able to keep opponents under 70 points. This is going to be a hard ask against an extremely talented Bulls offense. This is going to be a close game, but I lean on the side of the better team. Take Buffalo and the points.
Over Under Pick
The combination of Buffalo’s high powered offense and their bad defense usually would be a recipe for overs to cash. The under has hit in seven of Buffalo’s last eight and six times in Ohio’s last seven. Despite the trends recently, I think this is going over. Buffalo is the best offensive rebounding team in the country which means plenty of extra chances for an already dangerous offense. The Bulls also shoot well from the free-throw line on the road so in a physical game like this that is just more points. Couple that with the fact that Ohio has the 36th best shooting percentage from beyond the arc at home and it is easy to see this game is due to become a shootout. Buffalo was only able to win by three at home and I see this being just as close. I like the over.