Against the Spread Pick
As of right now in the Mountain West, it is basically a fight for second place. We all know San Diego State is likely going to be the regular season champion, but the second seed in the conference tournament is still important because it likely means a first round bye. The Broncos are tied for second at 8-4, while Utah State is in third at 7-5. Also, note that Boise State already beat this Aggies team at home, so the revenge factor is there. Boise State are locked in right now, winners of five games in a row. Utah State is not far behind, going 4-1 in the same stretch. Even though the Broncos won at home just a few weeks ago, the road team is 9-2 ATS in the last 11 meetings. Laying 8.5 with the Aggies is way too many points, which is why I like the Broncos to at the very least cover.
Over Under Pick
Now these teams usually have no issue scoring. They both are averaging 77 points or more per game. The first meeting flew over the total (even though it went to overtime), but I believe we will see a similar type of game here. The Broncos do not have the best defense either, so they will try to push the pace and create as many scoring chances as possible. Trends show that the over is 10-4 in the last 14 meetings played at Utah State and the over is 6-2 in the Broncos last 8 games. I do not like this play as much as the side, but it would be a lean to the over.