Against The Spread Pick
The Broncos have been a solid team for bettors to side with this season as they are 18-10-0 ATS. They average 79.6 ppg and give up 69.1 ppg meaning that they have a solid point differential of 7.7 and they have looked very good in Mountain West play. The Rebels have been average for bettors with their mark of 15-14 ATS. The average 71.7 ppg and give up 70.3 ppg, meaning that they have a point differential of 1.3 over their 29 games so far this season. Derrick Alston is the Broncos’ key player. He averages 17.8 points, 4.9 boards, and 3.1 assists in 33.0 minutes per game. He is a highly efficient shooter as he makes 46 percent of his shots from the field and 80 percent of his shots from the line. The Broncos are the better of these two teams and they will prove it by taking the victory as a road underdog in Las Vegas who are catching the Rebels in a letdown spot after they just picked up their biggest win of the season to date over No. 4 San Diego State.
Over Under Pick
These are a pair of teams that are average in the over/under game this year. The Broncos are 14-14-0 in terms of over/under, while the Rebels are slightly worse at 14-15-0 on the year. The Rebels have a pair of players who can score points with guards Bryce Hamilton (15.5 ppg) and Amauri Hardy (14.1 ppg) both able to light up the scoreboard. Hardy is particularly important to this line as he is the best three-point shooter on the Rebels’ squad. Alston will be the key player for Boise State, but he has an able backup scorer in guard Justinian Jessup who scores 16.0 ppg and who is the all-time leading three-point scorer in Mountain West history. The total is on the high side in this game, but both teams have enough players who can score to push this to the over by late in the second half.