Baylor -7.5 Point Spread

Under 125.5 Game Totals

Against The Spread Pick

The Bears may have lost a week ago, but you would not have known that with how they bounced back this past week. Granted they played Kansas State, but regardless, they crushed them 85-66. TCU took another hit to their resume when they lost 65-59 to Iowa State. That loss came off the back of an overtime win against West Virginia last week as well, so this is a game the Horned Frogs desperately need. It should be mentioned that Baylor is 9-2 ATS against the Horned Frogs in their last 11 meetings. The favorite is 9-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings and TCU are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall. Furthermore, the Bears are 11-2 ATS in 13 road games this season, so I look for Baylor to dominate TCU and cover the spread.

Over Under Pick

This is a total I would stay away from because of how bad TCU can be at times. They average just 64 points per game. On the flip side, Baylor only scores 71 points per game, but as we have seen, when their offense gets rolling, they can score in the 80’s. Baylor’s defense is elite this season, allowing 58.7 points per game and 56.9 points per game on the road. The first meeting went under the total and the Horned Frogs score just 52 points. Even at home, I cannot trust TCU to consistently score, so my lean would be on the under.