Against The Spread Pick
Arkansas State has now lost eight straight and have to go on the road to play a scary Georgia Southern offense. While Arkansas State has been competitive in those eight losses losing four of them by five or less. Georgia Southern is averaging 75 points per game and shooting 43.6 percent from the field. Their offense gets better at home where they average 79 points a game. Arkansas State has the ability to shoot from behind the arc, however, Georgia Southern’s defense defends that very well. I’m expecting Georgia Southern’s offense to be too much for the Red Wolves to handle. Take GSU at home with the points.
Over Under Pick
I think Georgia Southern is going to be able to get out to a lead early. They shoot 47 percent in the first half and against a lacking Arkansas State road defense they should be up big early. With that, Arkansas State is going to have to rely on their ability to shoot the ball from behind the arc. Typically the Red Wolves excel at this, but that happens to be where Georgia Southern defends best. They hold opponents to just 28 percent from downtown at home which is 33rd best in the nation. The Eagles aren’t going to be able to carry this total all by themselves and the Red Wolves won’t be of much help. Play the under in this one.