Against the Spread Pick
With just a few games to play the PAC 12 standings are really tight at the top. Arizona State is one of three teams with just five league losses but there are only three games to play. They are off a close loss to UCLA but they will need to bounce back against a USC team that is probably as talented as any in the league, just inconsistent. When these teams met a few weeks ago the Sun Devils won by just a bucket at home. USC is off a key win over Arizona to start the weekend. It helps their profile and gets them to 20 on the season. It was a really low scoring game with neither team getting to even 60 points. USC can play that way as it allows them to emphasize their advantages on the interior. USC has the second-best ATS record in the conference at 18-11. Take the Trojans at home.
Over Under Pick
USC knows that its best chance to win is to rely on its bigs. They want to play at a slow to medium pace as a result but their last game was really sluggish. Eight of their last 10 have gone under and wit so much riding on this one for both teams it does not feel like a situation where things are going to all of a sudden open up. The number might be a little low but the under is the side to get on.