Against The Spread Pick
The Appalachian State Mountaineers travel to Texas to face the Texas State Bobcats in Sun Belt Conference Tournament play on Wednesday. The Bobcats had been on a winning tear as they had won five in a row before losing their last game to South Alabama. The Mountaineers reached this point with a couple of back-to-back wins, including taking down Coastal Carolina in their tournament-opening match. App State has already beaten Texas State once this season so the Mountaineers know they can hang with the Bobcats. Look for Mountaineers’ top scorer Justin Forrest and his 17.3 ppg to give the visitors enough to cover the spread here.
Over Under Pick
App State can score points but they will be happy if this game sits in the 60s. The total has gone under in seven of their last 10 road games and given that Texas State is coming off of a shocking offensive performance where they scored just 54 points against South Alabama then the under looks good here. This is especially true given that the Bobcats have played to the under in eight of their last 12 games overall. The Bobcats allow just 65.6 ppg and are the best defensive team in the conference, but they aren’t a heavy scoring team. Add in that both teams are shooting lower than 33 percent from outside and you have a mix here to lean towards the under, even with the total being pretty low.